China’s inshell walnut production is forecast to increase by 27 percent in marketing year (MY) 2022/23, largely because of a production rebound in western China. Despite uncertainties over an economic slowdown and ongoing COVID restrictions, China’s almond imports are expected to pick up in MY 2022/23, given increased supplies and competitive prices. Almond imports are expected to be dominated by the United States and Australia. Walnut imports from the United States are expected to further decline on competition from Chile and domestic production. Pistachio imports will be lower due to reduced supplies in Iran.
In MY 2022/23, China’s walnut quality is expected to be above average in Xinjiang. Large-scale walnut orchards in Xinjiang are located on flatlands, which make crop management and harvest less costly. In addition, compared to Yunnan walnut varieties (which were first planted decades ago), Xinjiang walnut varieties feature a thin shell, large size, and light kernel color. In the mountainous areas of Yunnan province, walnut quality is inconsistent as farmers have not invested in production practices to improve quality or yields, such as the application of fertilizers.
Additionally, Yunnan farmers do not rely on walnuts as their sole source of income making further investment less appealing. In general, most walnut varieties planted in China carry a bitter taste. Post has not heard of any new varieties that compete with imported counterparts, such as Chandler, being developed or planted.
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Source: apps.fas.usda.gov